IT
RADAR BRIEF · 0/100

Vannacci’s party levels off as PD falls to 20.4% in polling average

The latest YouTrend/AGI Supermedia puts the Democratic Party at 20.4%, its lowest level since the 2024 European elections, while Futuro Nazionale remains at 7.7%.

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What is happening

The weighted average of national voting-intention polls conducted from September 17 to 30 shows Brothers of Italy at 26.8%, the PD at 20.4%, the Five Star Movement at 12.8%, Futuro Nazionale at 7.7%, and Forza Italia at 7.4%. Compared with two weeks earlier, the PD is down 0.7 points, while Futuro Nazionale is unchanged. The coalition figures are 41.1% for the center-right and 43.4% for the “broad field” coalition in the 2026 grouping.

Why is it on the Radar?

The figures indicate a pause in the previous growth of Vannacci’s party and a further decline for the PD in this polling average. The Supermedia is based on polls by EMG, Eumetra, Ipsos, Noto, Only Numbers, Piepoli, SWG, and YouTrend.

Sources and timeline