What is happening
The weighted average of national voting-intention polls conducted between September 10 and 23 places Brothers of Italy at 27.0%, the Democratic Party at 20.8%, the Five Star Movement at 12.6%, Futuro Nazionale at 7.8%, Forza Italia at 7.4%, Greens/Left at 6.5%, and the League at 5.6%. Compared with the 2022 Chamber election result, Brothers of Italy is up 1.0 percentage point, the Democratic Party 1.8 points, and Greens/Left 2.9 points. The League is down 3.2 points and the Five Star Movement 2.8 points. The average also includes Sud chiama Nord, measured at 1.1%.
Why is it on the Radar?
The figures indicate changes in party support compared with the start of the current legislature. At coalition level, the centre-right is at 41.1%, down 2.7 points from 2022, while the centre-left is at 28.8%, up 2.7 points. The figures are a weighted average of polls from several institutes, not an election result.