IT
RADAR BRIEF · 57/100

German state election reignites debate on the centre-left and European rearmament

Reactions to the AfD’s reported 44% result in Saxony-Anhalt have divided Italian centre-left figures. Giuseppe Conte criticised European rearmament, while Democratic Party representatives disagreed over whether the result was linked to those policies. Other centre-left leaders cited concerns over security, immigration, economic hardship and the left’s ability to address voters’ anxieties.

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What is happening

Giuseppe Conte said the result reflected an extreme-right trend in Europe and criticised the European Commission’s rearmament policies, arguing that they had contributed indirectly to the situation. Andrea Orlando said the German Social Democrats’ emphasis on investment in rearmament had not addressed the risk of deindustrialisation. Alessandro Alfieri rejected a direct transfer of the German result to Italy, attributing AfD support to dissatisfaction with Friedrich Merz’s right-wing government, fears about change, and concerns over immigration and security. Filippo Sensi said explaining the result solely through rearmament would be inadequate and argued that the centre-left should focus on concrete issues such as healthcare, income and education. Angelo Bonelli said the left should examine why it had lost support among workers and in peripheral areas. Riccardo Magi instead described the AfD result as a symptom of a crisis in democracy and a direct product of the degeneration of the European right.

Why is it on the Radar?

The vote has prompted differing interpretations within Italy’s centre-left. Some figures link it to rearmament policies and the left’s failure to address social and economic hardship, while others reject that explanation and emphasise security concerns, political dissatisfaction and the crisis of the European right.

Sources and timeline